PRIORITIES: Slash Big Bird and Cut Exit Polls

Who needs all this yellow feathered fluff? Who needs to “discount double check” the vote?

While Fox News was cheerleading Romney’s debate peformance as the greatest comeback story since Seabiscuit, and while MSNBC was dissecting the words and non-verbal communication of Obama like a patient undergoing a CT scan. While the first presidential debate was split screened, reversed, freeze framed, sped up, slowed down, twirled, twisted and analyzed like a subatomic particle speeding through an accelerator – a small story appeared on the deep background of cyberspace and the back pages of papers.

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Networks, AP cancel exit polls in 19 states

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Or maybe you haven’t heard? Why should anyone care? What’s the big deal? We wanna know more about Obama’s foot position as he stood behind the lectern. We wanna know the implications of firing “Big Bird”. It’s cute. It’s tweetable. It’s delightful, it’s delirious, its de-dumb-down. Ok. If we put three news editors of three major, 24 hour cable networks to the task, we might be able to come up with a more eye grabbing headline:

Last Independent Vote Verification Count – DUMPED!

Washington Post

Breaking from two decades of tradition, this year’s election exit poll is set to include surveys of voters in 31 states, not all 50 as it has for the past five presidential elections, according to multiple people involved in the planning.

Why?

Dan Merkle, director of elections for ABC News, and a member of the consortium that runs the exit poll, confirmed the shift Wednesday. The aim, he said, “is to still deliver a quality product in the most important states,” in the face of mounting survey costs.

First Big Bird – now Democracy Itself – just too darn expensive

Exit Polling is the last and only independent check of the count tabulated by privately programmed computers.

We cannot afford NOT TO verify the vote. We cannot simply trust our vote to private corporations with no oversight of computer programming to decide elections and exit polling is the only somewhat independent double check of the “true” vote. Networks can afford to rake in record breaking dollars from campaign ads to fill every 24 hour day with the minutia of every flip, flop, and frivolous misspeak while exploring the shoes size and body language of every candidate, their family, and their dog – but cannot afford to double check the computer tabulated vote through exit polling?

PRIORITIES

I understand that exit polling does not mean fiddly to the average voter – you can’t watch it on TV, it is full of a lot of boring numbers and percentages, and to many, its prime function is to make projections on any given election night. Yet, not every important element of society resides in the center of the bell curve. There are people who use exit polls to “discount double check” the vote. They pour over spread sheets and analyze the exit poll number against the vote recorded by computers – they “get off” on this stuff.

I guess they look at it like: “What good are debates, clever campaign ads, and robo calls if we cannot trust and verify the final election results”. Not very sexy, but a good question. These are the people who live on the extremes of the bell curve and meet on face book to compare exit poll numbers to the privately programmed computer generated vote numbers – and guess what? They come up with some glaringly obvious and statistically impossible departures between the two sets of numbers.

Just for instance, let’s take a look at the recent Walker Recall Election in Wisconsin, while keeping in mind that the exit poll data of the media pool forms the basis for the analysis:

The Numbers of Defectors Point to Election Fraud

In county after county and in ward after ward, especially in the rural areas of the state, the defection from Obama ’08 numbers far exceed explanation – at least lawful explanaton. The exit poll suggests Obama dropped from his 14 point ’08 win to a 7 point lead in the exit poll, Yet defections of Obama supporters in the recall show a 20 point defection in statewide totals, which is 13 points stronger than the exit poll suggests should be typical. In fact Obama defections of 35 to as high as 70 points were not unusual in some wards!

Adams County

Leola Walker 98 Barrett 19 – Defection 63% shift 16
Richfield Walker 53 Barrett 25 Defection 54% shift 29

Barron County

Dallas Walker 178 Barrett 70 Defection 47% shift 16

Brown County

Glenmore 435 walker 147 Barrett Defection 52% shift 19
Holland 593 walker 199 Barrett Defeciton 49% shift 22

Buffalo County

Waumandee 161 walker 60 Barrett Defection 55% sshift 24
Montana 94 walker 19 Barrett Defection 74% shift 36

Calument County

Kiel 74 Walker Barret 34 Defection 55% shift 31

Clark County

Beaver 164 Walker Barrett 47 Defection 68% shift 32
Fremont 316 Walker Barrett 100 Defection 57% shift 23
Sherwood 69 Walker 57 Barrett Defection 33% shift 16

The above is only a sampling of unexplainable defections looking at counties for A-C.

Meet Richard Charnin

Richard is the author of a soon to be released book on election fraud and has been pouring over exit polls numbers for years. His answer to the question of why exit polling has been curtailed can be found on his blog: Why did the Networks Cancel Exit Polls?

Take a closer look his statistical analysis.Richard Charnin (pictured right)predicted what the fraud factor would look like ten days before the June 5 election. He has even created a model which boils it down to the level of each Municipality:

“I just created a Muni Recall True Vote model based on the elections.xlsx data. It uses the 2008 Presidential and 2012 Recall recorded votes. “ Richard Charnin’s latest Municipal Recall True Vote Model

You can look at any ward, municipality, or village in Wisconsin and prove to yourself how the recorded vote in the June 5 Recall election is not only “hinky” or “smelly” – it is not statistically possible.

Prove election fraud for yourself. Have Fun!

True Vote Model by Municipality – Defection from Obama’s ’08 vote to Walker in Recall Election

No Exit Poll Numbers – No Analysis – No Computer Double Check

So the example, based looking back at exit polling, raises doubts about the computer totals for the Recall Election in Wisconsin, but that is only the tip of the ice berg in terms of election analysis that will never happen in the future. Without the exit polling in all fifty states the base of “true” vote analysis will crumble and the computer generated totals will stand as “true”.

If Democracy has become to expensive for the networks and Big Bird has become too expensive for America, then where are we as a people? Where are our priorities? Who controls the people’s right to the truth in our elections, in our public conversation, and in our lives?

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One thought on “PRIORITIES: Slash Big Bird and Cut Exit Polls

  1. Pingback: PRIORITIES: Slash Big Bird and Cut Exit Polls | Occupy Wall Street Info

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