Walker's Wisconsin – Vector Autoregression "Politricks"

If the shoe fits, wear it

1shoe drop
“There are three types of lies — lies, damn lies, and statistics.”
― Benjamin Disraeli

Walker picks the measurement of job growth that defines his administration

Scott Walker’s minions found the one economic indicator, the damn lying statistic which seems to support how his policies are working even though federal jobs data shows Wisconsin 38th in the nation in job growth since Walker took office.

Walker has linked, published, and broadcast the findings of Philly Fed until even the Filly Fed issued the warning of the lie:

Philly Fed says Scott Walker, WMC offer misleading data on Wisconsin economy
September 28, 2013 6:00 am • MIKE IVEY | The Capital Times
But officials with the Philly Fed, who have been following the situation in Wisconsin, issued a statement Friday saying it’s a misreading of their “Coincident Indexes” to try and compare one state to another.

“We do not consider state rankings based on the coincident and leading indexes to be valid,” says Paul Flora, Senior Economic Analyst at the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia in an email to the Cap Times.

Officials with the Philly Fed, who have been following the situation in Wisconsin, issued a statement Friday saying it’s a misreading of their “Coincident Indexes” to try and compare one state to another.

Philly Index formulation AKA “Vector Autoregression”

The Coincident Index employs vector autoregression to construct the leading index. Now, after you spit the multiple consonants out of your mouth, we come to the moniker that defines Scott Walker and company: Auto regressive!

But…so what? Throw some Wisconsin Manufactures, Bradley Foundation money at the Coincidental Auto Regressive damn lie, and let her spin:

Gov. Scott Walker says Wisconsin is Heading in the Right Direction

[Madison, Wisc…] Governor Scott Walker sat down with the MacIver News Service recently to talk about where Wisconsin stands and his goals for the coming months. Walker said that a majority of the statistics and rankings show that Wisconsin’s economy is turning around. His goal is to continue working with employers to create more jobs and would like to build upon the reforms in his budget that will reduce bureaucratic red tape on businesses and consumers. MacIver New Service

Oh, and there is a video! It features Scott Walker reeling off word bites like an alter boy reciting his “Confiteor Deo” kneeling before Monseigneur Moriarty, “key industries’ (nose breath), chamber of commerce survey (eye shift), trend after trend (hand sweep), – the litany of licentiousness before the altar of neocon funding.

Walker’s Wisconsin – The MacIver exclusive ‘Atta boy!

The obvious failure of Walker’s record in job creation is all the more strident since the echo’s of his prime promise in his campaign was, “I will create 250,000 new jobs in Wisconsin by the end of my first term”. Rather than accepting any responsibility for the lagging job creation, he continues to create excuses: it was the recall elections, it was the protests, it was…it was…. or it is the manner in which job statistics are compiled by the federal government.

It was not the recall elections, it was not the protests, it is not the way the numbers are compiled by the federal government – it was Scott Walker’s decision to dismantle a department of the state government, and doing so without possessing the education, managerial skills, or administrative skills to make the new department work.

The problem is in the very foundation of Walker’s job creation plan – the Wisconsin Economic Development Corporation, and it is sinking, sinking, sinking.

The “It is working” video remake “The Vector Autoregression” video:

Walker's Wisconsin – job killer list

Walker #Fails

Walker’s complete failure to create jobs paints him as one of the most ineffectual leaders in Wisconsin’s History – and the 2014 election is right around the corner. Like George W., who would never admit to hiswalker wins1 mistake of selling a war based on false intelligence reports, Scott Walker takes no ownership of the dismal job numbers in Wisconsin which put his performance at the bottom of the list compiled by Business Journal of all other governors in the country. Walker ranks 44th on the list. Instead, he points his finger of blame on a “list of weapons of job destruction” that are as mythical and out of reach as all those centrifuges for enriched uranium of George W..

Centrifuge and subterfuge indeed

The governor inadvertently opened up the jobs can of worms all by himself. It wasn’t the big union bosses from out-of-state, or protestors in the rotunda, or even some legislator from the opposing party. It was Scott Walker. He did it all by himself when he went off script in Merrill, Wisconsin last Monday and was recorded by WTMJ TV on video saying, “It’s not about jobs.” and was seen as backing away from his big campaign promise of bringing 250,000 jobs to Wisconsin by the end of his term.

Wisconsin elected a “reformer”. A man who looks to the far future rather then just the next election. Some states elect leaders with college educations and a varied resume of experience across a spectrum of disciplines. Not Wisconsin. They elected a governor with no college diploma, and whose experience was limited to political maneuvering. It was to be a “learn on the job” administration, because people liked the way he sounded and believed in what he said. Walker was a “reformer” and Wisconsin became his “reform school”. His statement regarding his misstatement on WTMJ, rambles through words to form a sentence in the fitful pattern that leaves quotation marks struggling to contain the non-thought:

What we’re trying to stay focused on is not hitting a magic number as much as making sure everything we did — that our overwhelming focus of this administration — is how do we help the people of the state get more jobs? Walker said.

Business Journal Updated: Aug 30, 2013, 5:02am CDT

And the blame goes to…

The fickle finger of Walker is ever searching for the weapons of job destruction in Wisconsin when it might serve him well to replace his frantic fickle finger with a mirror.

His latest list of culprits:

1) Employer concerns caused by protests in Madison,
2) The recall elections
3) The Affordable Care Act.

The most recent estimates are that the state has added less than 85,000 jobs since Walker was sworn in as governor in January 2011.

Walker reiterated earlier statements that Wisconsin had lost about 131,000 jobs in the years before he took office, a figure he blamed partly on the state’s policies and direction under his predecessor Democrat Jim Doyle. Of course, the Great Recession caused extensive job losses before 2011 in Wisconsin and the rest of the country.
Business Journal story by Rich Kirchen Senior Reporter linked above.

If politics is going to play a higher priority than getting people back to work, it’s a sad day,” Walker said.

In fact, Doyle left the door for new jobs in Wisconsin wide open with the contract with Talgo the Spanish train company. Mirror, mirror on the wall, who played politics worst of all?

It was Scott Walker who had a King of job creators kneeling at his feet. Talgo, the Spanish train-maker had already opened a plant in Milwaukee and was working on two trainsets for the Chicago-Milwaukee Hiawatha service. Wisconsin was awarded eight hundred and ten million dollars to create thousands of jobs in Wisconsin. Walker said “No”. The reason he gave was one of the first in the long litany of lies he would unleash on the people of Wisconsin over the following year.

Why did Walker reject high speed rail?

If not Doyle, it must be the protests and recalls

What has hurt his efforts to create more jobs has been the one-two-three punch of Capitol protests, the recall elections he and state senators faced in 2012 and now employer concerns about the Affordable Care Act, Walker said.

Protesters swamped the area in and around the state Capitol for weeks in opposition to plans by Walker and Republican legislators to reduce the power of public-sector labor unions and require most public employees in Wisconsin to contribute to their pensions and health care benefits.Business Journal story by Rich Kirchen Senior Reporter linked above.

Protestors or his stubborn inability to compromise?

Before the protests began in February of 2012. Long before the Senate and Gubernatorial recall elections that followed, Scott Walker was presented with a compromise from the unions.

Good Morning America Gov. Walker Rejects Compromise as Wisconsin Union Protests Continue

GEORGE STEPHANOPOULOS, ABC Anchor: Governor, they already said they were willing to give up on the pensions and on the health care. They already said that. They have already made those concessions.

GOV. SCOTT WALKER (R-Wis.): But that’s a red herring.
PBS ANALYSIS AIR DATE: Feb. 21, 2011 with video

Whatever effect protests and recall elections may have had on Scott Walker’s ability to create jobs, is trumped by his own inflexibility; to hold onto his disingenuous strategy to “divide and conquer”. Just one word of compromise to unions back in February of 2012 would have ended the protests, and the recall elections. Who is really at fault?

The Affordable Care Act is the Cuprit

“Many small and midsize employers say it’s the uncertainty,” Walker said. “They haven’t figured (the ACA) out and they don’t know the impact and until they do, that’s the part that concerns them the most.”
Business Journal story by Rich Kirchen Senior Reporter linked above.

Businesses in every state have been dealing with the Affordable Care Act at the same time as Wisconsin – even states that have also been subjected to protests and recall elections like Ohio, Michigan, and Indiana. Yet, Wisconsin remains at the bottom of the job creation numbers. So what is the common denominator? What is it that Wisconsin has in place that no other state has – Governor Scott Walker.

The Wisconsin Economic Development Corporation is not on the list?

The the entire Department of Commerce, that functioned without major problems for 35 years, was dismantled, “reformed”, and restructured by Gov. Scott Walker in February 2011. Commerce was replaced with the new and streamlined Wisconsin Economic Development Corporation (WEDC), and branded as a public-private agency, to boost job growth. This was the flag ship of “Walker Reform” boasting an $83 million budget. The regulatory, big government, impediments of the Commerce Department would be striped to make room for the Neoconservative efficiency of WEDC – the flagship of the new Walker reform to allow for the lofty goal of creating jobs, jobs, jobs.

A few headlines reveal the story of administrative failure of the WEDC

The initial Promise? “WEDC will create 50,000 jobs by June 2012″

The Old Commerce Department was abolished in favor of WEDC with a single purpose – (Please mark this well) Walker’s spokesman Cullen Werwie told how the Governor was working closely with the WEDC and was getting regular updates from chief executive officer, Paul Jadin, and it would retain or create 50,000 jobs by June 2012.

The July 18 2012 Shake up – WEDC Bidding suspended!

Before a year had passed, Gov. Scott Walker was shaking up the leadership of the state’s flagship jobs agency. You see, there was a problem. The bidding process was mishandled. Skyward, an information technology company of Stevens Point, was offered a sweetened deal.

July 2012 – the WEDC is summarized: Ryan Murray makes things “clear”

At this time, under the most reliable measure, Wisconsin’s WEDC created 19,551 jobs overall in 2011, lagging behind the nation and the 33,660 jobs that were created in 2010.

Murray made clear that the Walker administration would not be repeating the maneuver because it had the appearance of violating the competitive bid.

September 26, 2012- WEDC Oversteps Authority

The old Commerce Department, with all of its regulations, secured loans agreements from the Federal Government for 35 years. Walker simply transferred them to the “streamlined” WEDC even though the oversight of the the disbursal of loans was so lax that the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) threatened to cancel them.

October 19, 2012 – Lost 9 Million Dollars?

Just three months after the communication and oversight problems had been fixed by his trustworthy appointee Ryan Murray, Gov. Scott Walker called for “dramatic moves”. In the wake of revelations that his flagship jobs agency had lost track of $9 million in past due loans with due dates going back more than a year, the reformer did another shift and shuffle of staff.

It is always someone else to blame

It is always everyone else who is wrong, including the people whose names appear on the communications recently made public like:

Tim RussellJohn Doe Russela former deputy chief of staff to Walker, pleaded guilty Nov. 29.

Kevin Kavanaugh – convicted of stealing more than $50,000 from Operation Freedom and other veterans funds and sentenced in December to two years in prison.

Kelly Rindfleisch – who worked for Walker in the county executive’s office in 2010, was sentenced Nov. 19 to six months in jail for campaign fundraising at the courthouse using a secret email system installed there.

Darlene Wink – Walker’s constituent services coordinator at the county, pleaded guilty to two misdemeanors for doing campaign work while on the county clock.

Daily news stories flash through the media, blogs, face book, and twitter. The progression of problems with WEDC encompass the time line of Walker’s first day in office through yesterday. The attempt is to show some patterns over a longer period than a day, week, or month. What is most striking to me, are all those who have hit the water in the wake of Walker’s passage – all of those who were once trusted associates and are now convicted as felons or tossed overboard because of this action or that. Through all this only one person, one common denominator stands in an obvious and prime position.

Are we to believe the fault remains with those cast aside? Experience and history tell us this cannot be true, and it is time to follow the three fingers pointed back at the one who points.

How the Koch (GRINCH) Bros. BOUGHT the Fiscal Cliff

Repost In Time For Christmas

The billionaire brothers set out to prove that self interest and a healthy helping of money could create a political movement. Charles and David Koch set out to fool most of the people most of the time by manipulating the media to follow the rise of the tea party as a grass roots movement.

Now, they plan to build on their practice – by fooling more and more people.

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They are buying a mountain, believe it or not
With a fiscal cliff right up at the top.
Here the Brothers will meet with leaders
Of wealth and power and crafty cheaters
It will be a tea party, or so they report
But the tea they are drinking is of a sort
That turns the drinkers nasty and mean
The nastiest nasties you’ve ever seen.

What is the plan these nasties have spun?
To invite any and all who will come
By saying they will get a piece of the pie
And many believe it, don’t ask me why.
Some were Senators and vote seeking creatures
Some judges, some lawyers, and even some preachers.

Oh but the nastier, nastiest plan of all
Was to bring them up and watch them fall.
The Littles were drawn up tempted by charms
They moved in long lines with tight locked arms.
Individual freedom was the chant they were singing
Yet they sung as a chorus joined in bringing
A rift of me against them and those against us
Until all here and there were caught in the fuss.

Oh, never has such a jagged, terrible riff
Been drawn and danced at the edge of a cliff.
But the Brothers knew well, this was the plan
To control their mountain and most of the land.
Oh how they chuckled as the Little’s drew near
The edge of the cliff, there goal was clear.

To push them off and watch them fall
Down to their depths like one big ball.


Just one year ago – on Dec. 20, 2011 the Congress of the United States was delivered to the Koch Brothers in a box – just in time for Christmas.

Below is a short excerpt of the words spoken by Hank Johnson Dec. 20.The words were spoken by Rep. Johnson after a long day of “debate” on the tax holiday extension. He came forward and spoke for a full hour before the final gavel of that days business.

A New Box Wine Brand for Wisconsin "LET HIM DIE"

Wisconsin hasn’t changed…the brand has

I love Wisconsin, even if it’s Winters can be long and dark, the people rise above this malice meant for man and trudge out into the sub zero, nose biting air with attitude – all we’ve got to conquer this cold is – STYLE! The topography of this mitten shaped state is as varied and ubiquitous as the people who settled here. Today, Wisconsinites slid their unique culture and heritage into this mitten to warm the hands of generations twice removed. The past brands of the state were possessed of Badgers, the Packers, and the soft yellow cheese head. These brands of a people – who can laugh at themselves, pitch in through the disasters of flood, tornado, and drought – is being bastardized by a few political icons who confuse our values by playing “under duck” in a presidential swing state.

Hey there, God love Elroy and Tommy Thompson and all “dat der”. He flew in on Reagan’s shirt tails and saved the taxpayer’s money by longevity of office – state maps did not need to be reprinted for years because a new governor’s face was not required to replace the pic on the main fold. Ok, so the Wisconsin way is to have a little fun, and even if you are a Republican, you must pray that God grant you the serenity to make it through one of Tommy Thompson’s speeches. I am sorry he won the primary, not so much because of his politics but because of what the sound of his slurring of words is doing to the brand of the state. Surely, you may have noticed in his victory speech last night how his vowels seemed to take away from the integrity of his consonants?

Below is a video of another of Tommy’s speeches before the Recall Election, you will see what I mean:
(And hey, if Feingold were to slosh in such a way, he would be the star of the video)

The brand “Let Him Die” is not Wisconsin. No way. No how.

I was born in raised in the Northwest edge of the state, and my grand and great-grand parents are buried in the Wisconsin soil of a cemetery in Trempealeau County. My Grandma Rose, who pulled the Wigi Board out of our hands like it was a IDE, would never stand for the words or ideas of Ayn Rand. I don’t really believe that most people of the State agree with her “objective philosophy” either, yet it is her brand of “ego run rampant” philosophy that forms the basis of thought for many who call themselves conservatives! But, don’t take my word for it, Ron Johnson and Paul Ryan have stated publicly and on the record how her ideas, that run against very foundation of “the majority rules” Democracy, form the foundation for their political beliefs. Make no mistake, when they talk of “freedom”, they are relating to the Godless freedom of Ayn Rand. Does this seem like the Wisconsin you know? Do you wonder how the religious right can possibly fit themselves into the conservative mold propagated by Ayn Rand? I can’t, and I wonder how many Wisconsinites are aware of the Ayn Rand definition of individual freedom that pervades the endless PAC ads on their television.

Below is a video that many people, not only from Wisconsin, found unsettling in one of the GOP Presidential Primary debates. Meet the Ayn Rand brand for Wisconsin. Warning – she is no cheese head.

So, this is the new brand for Wisconsin? God save us.

It's Election CROSS OVER Day

Voters Can be a Republican for a Day

In many counties and wards there is not much at stake in for Democrats and Independents in today’s Partisan Primary election, with the result that many voters will stay home. The turnout is expected to be a mere trickle, especially when compared to the deluge of 70% turnout in some counties just two months ago for the Walker Recall Election. What a mistake for Democrats and Independents to stay home, when there is so much fun to be had at the expense of those candidates who stand with Walker and ride on the same Citizen United Brinks Truck of extreme right wing PAC’s that have tipped all fairness of non-conservative candidates to compete on a level playing field, and sent them crashing over the cliff.

Go Vote – Cross Over on a Paper Ballot

Of course, if a Democratic candidate for your local Clerk, Corner, or D.A. is challenged, and you have a strong preference in that race, then by all means vote for the candidate you trust. The rest of us get to have some fun, and be a Republican for a day. (Not a moment longer) It is all legal and above board. In the Senate race, I can vote for the weakest Republican candidate, Jeff Fitzgerald, and thus give Tammy Baldwin a boost in the upcoming November election. So, by voting for Jeff, I can vote against him!

By voting today, you can also send a message to the Kevin Kennedy and the Government Accountability Board (GAB) that you do not trust electronic machines and refuse to be a party to the election fraud that has generated a statistically proven red (Republican) shift” in elections for the past decade. If you have the option, by pass the machines, and vote on a paper ballot that will be hand counted.

Cross Over for Joy Conley

In Vernon County, today is your chance to break the hold of the Good Ol’ Boy Network that has pervaded the county for 30 years. The old, back room, arm twisting politics is at risk with the candidacy of Rep. Joy Conley in the race opposing the sitting County Clerk Ron Hoff. Clerk Hoff is one of the Good Ol’ Boys who has been in office for nearly 10 years, and has demonstrated how he and his cronies conveniently control of the message to voters by posting false information on his official web site for three months and through the course of two elections. Yes. Throughout the Recall Primary and the June 5 Recall Election his web site stated that a Photo ID would be required to get a ballot, a message that was false, destructive, and against Wisconsin election law statutes. So, in Vernon County Democrats and Independents have a real choice to change the direction of their county government and move Democracy out of the back room where strategies are applied with a pressure that have county employees afraid to speak our for fear of retribution from the Good Ol’ Boys.

Below is the WKBT TV broadcast last Monday

If you are a Democrat or Independent n Vernon County, go vote today. Cross over and vote for Joy Conley.

VICTORY – The People VS. GAB, County Clerks & Ron Hoff

Marinette County Would Like to Settle – A Thumbnail

Mary Magnuson vs. Marinette County

The of policy of imposing fees on citizens who seek to audit the ballots cast in the June 5 Recall Election, was tested by a law suit, and the county wants to settle. Marinette County is just one thumbnail of a much larger picture of such obstruction, since it served as a test case for the validity of the Government Accountability Board and Keven Kennedy to “suggest” that the vote audit can be obstructed by imposition of fees as were suggested in a document from GAB to all county clerks. GAB’s 15 Directives of Obstruction

Freedom of Information VS. Kevin Kennedy (GAB)-THE BIG PICTURE

(Pictured below Kevin Kennedy standing in for Mr. Potter – “It’s a Wonderful Life”)

I filed open records requests with Clerk Hoff in Vernon and and Clerk Geisler in Crawford County to inspect memory cards that held the electronic tally of vote machines and was met with obstruction in the form of fees and penalties that cancelled any “freedom” offered in the Freedom of Information Act. Clerk Hoff imposed a $16/hr fee for the time it would take to inspect the election materials, while Clerk Geisler warned that I would subject the taxpayers of Crawford County to a fee of $12,400 if memory cards were to be examined. The clerk in Marinette County imposed a fee of $21.12/hour for citizens to audit ballots. All three of these clerks and many others across the state were following the “suggestions” of the GAB and Kevin Kennedy. ESP # “6. Custodians of public records are entitled to charge location fees for the actual, necessary and direct cost of location of a record if the cost is $50 or more. Wis Stats. §19.35 (3)(c)” The decision of Marrinette County to settle suggests the county is unwilling to risk further obstruction of the ballot audit and avoid incurring all the costs and penalties connected with holding with the policies and fees outlined in Kevin Kennedy’s “suggestions”. In other words the people won! (Clerks Ron Hoff and Janet Geisler – Are you listening?)

The “Grassroots” Suite

The suite was brought by 30 common, everyday citizens who donated funds through a Wepay drive on face book and the internet, and $500 was collected in less than 24 hours to cover the retainer fee for Attorney Christa Westerberg, who is on the Freedom of Information Act Council of Wisconsin and who offered to forgo hourly fees. Marinette County was the test case, and judging from a willingness to settle, the grass roots appears to have survived the drought and is bound to over run the rag weed obstruction of the GAB and Kevin Kennedy. Great news for transparency, Democracy, and election protection!

Where does this leave Ron Hoff?

The Clerk of Vernon County is facing an election on Tuesday, August 14, and has already been called out on WKBT TV for holding false information on his official web site regarding a voter’s need for a Photo ID to obtain a ballot.
Below is the WKBT TV broadcast on Monday

One of Clerk Hoff’s constituents hand delivered a open records request to examine election materials for the June 5 Recall Election and was told by Clerk Hoff that he would be charged $16/hr to view the materials and that none of the materials could be touched. Hoff said that he would be getting back to the constituent to set up a time by Thursday, but he did not communicate back until the following Monday.

At the $16/hr inspection Clerk Hoff was asked for a required document, “Chain of Custody of Memory Cards” he did a “slight of hand” and produced an “Election Incident Form” – the two required documents are as different as a marriage license and a dog license. He was asked if the memory cards that were stacked on the counter, had been in his office since the June 5 election, and he avoided the question three times. I later learned that the memory cards for the town of De Soto were sent back early – a week before the period required by law.

His charge for viewing election materials under an open records request is in direct opposition to the Freedom of Information Act as supported by the settlement request in Marinette County. Furthermore, all costs born in litigation are the responsibility of the municipality or county, and these costs could be significant.

A Joyous End

The misinformation, treatment of constituents requests, and allegations of misuse of the clerk’s office could end up costing the taxpayers of Vernon County a lot of money. Fortunately, there is some “joy” on the horizon. Joy Conley, who has experience in the clerks office and a good grasp of election integrity issues, is running to replace him. Joy Conley web site